Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0647 AM CST Sat Feb 07 2026

Valid 071300Z - 081200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight.

...Desert Southwest...
Water-vapor imagery this morning shows a mid- to upper-level low and
an associated trough to the west of Baja Calfornia.  This
disturbance will meander slowly southeast reaching the Baja
California/Gulf of California vicinity by the end of the period. 
Relatively cold mid-level temperatures (near -18 deg C at 500 mb)
and sufficient moisture will yield weak buoyancy later today across
southern AZ.  Showers and a few weak thunderstorms are forecast
mainly for southeast AZ where weak ascent may yield a couple of
lightning flashes with deeper convection.  Elsewhere across the
contiguous United States, quiescent conditions will prevail
precluding thunderstorms.

..Smith/Moore.. 02/07/2026